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The Stablecoin Quantum Exposure Report is a recurring, citable snapshot of signature-exposure and dormancy across the Ethereum stablecoin holder cohorts WalletWall already tracks. Figures are observations over observed cohorts — observations, not predictions — and every edition embeds its own provenance and boundaries.

Scope

Ethereum cohort sample only

The report aggregates the holder cohorts WalletWall’s scheduled analytics already cover (active, whale, dormant cohorts). It is a cohort sample, not full-market coverage, and says so in the artifact itself.

Zero new data collection

Editions are computed from the existing Dune auto-run snapshot the app already caches. Publishing an edition never executes a query and never adds analytics cost.

How figures are computed

All aggregation is a pure, deterministic function over the cached cohort snapshot:
1

Wallets observed

Count of cohort leaves in the snapshot.
2

Exposed-signature share

Wallets flagged with observed signature exposure, as a share of wallets observed, plus their share of observed cohort value.
3

Dormant share

Wallets in the dormant cohort or carrying dormancy flags.
4

Value concentration (top-5 / top-10 / top-25)

The largest observed balances as a share of total observed cohort value, at three depths so readers can inspect how concentrated the sample is.
5

Observation floor

Below 10 observed wallets an edition reports insufficient data with no figures. Small samples are not findings.
6

Deltas

Compared only against a prior edition that itself had real figures; a trend is never fabricated from an insufficient edition.
Every edition carries the snapshot’s Dune auto-run timestamp — figures reflect the stamped snapshot time, not real time — and each published edition’s numbers are pinned by a golden test for reproducibility.

Coupled signals — one query, not three

Signature-exposure, dormancy, and vault-candidate detection currently run over the same dormant-wallet query. When a figure is fully covered by the dormant set it is the same wallets counted again, not an independent finding. The report detects this coupling deterministically and, when present, presents the three as one coupled signal — never as three independent or corroborating findings, and never as a Venn of independent sets. The limitation is stated in the edition’s own boundaries and methodology.

Daily interactive editions

Each edition is generated after the existing 02:00 / 03:00 UTC Dune cache-warmer produces a coherent, fresh Redis snapshot — the report never runs its own schedule and never reads Dune itself.
1

Coherence gate

All required cohorts must be present, non-empty, warmed on the same UTC day, and within the freshness window. A mixed-day or partial batch does not publish.
2

Deterministic evidence

Exact metrics become approved, formatted tokens; Claude may cite nothing else.
3

Constrained narrative

Claude writes only text fields (headline, summary, findings). A deterministic validator rejects any unsourced number, banned claim, or unsafe content before an edition can publish.
4

Immutable edition

A valid edition is published to a stable URL (/exposure-report/<date>); a failure keeps the prior edition live.
Confidence is reported per edition: source confidence (snapshot freshness and completeness) and report confidence (observed, observed-coupled, or insufficient).

What the report does not claim

No prediction of loss, no statement about any individual wallet, no custody, insurance, return, or quantum-immunity claims, and no urgency framing. Signature exposure and dormancy are research heuristics over public on-chain data.
For a single wallet, the right tool is a signed Readiness Packet — every report edition links there.